usdmxn forecast: USD MXN Exchange Rate Today, Forecast & News

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usdmxn forecast

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usdmxn forecast

Real-time last sale data for U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only. Intraday data delayed at least 15 minutes or per exchange requirements. The US dollar has been weakening against the Mexican peso on strong economic performance in Mexico and higher interest rates encouraging carry trade using the peso. Continued Mexican peso strength will rely on a number of factors. These include Mexico’s ongoing economic performance in relation to the U.S., inflation levels and the likelihood of central bank intervention from the BdeM and the Fed. The results of forecasts of the Dollar/Mexican Peso currency pair are shown below and presented in the form of charts, tables and text information, divided into time intervals .

When considering any USD/MXN forecast, it’s important to remember that currency markets are highly volatile, making it difficult for analysts and algorithm-based forecasters to come up with accurate long-term predictions. Conversely, French bank Societe Generale expected a stronger dollar, predicting USD/MXN could trade up from 20.80 at the end of 2022 to 21.90 by the third quarter of 2023 and average 22.09 in 2024. The bank’s USD/MXN forecast for 2025 then saw the pair dipping to 21.60.

What is your sentiment on USD/MXN?

The dollar strengthened to 20.41 in late September, reversing most of the year’s losses. Concerns about the impact of high inflation and increasing interest rates on the global economy weighed on the peso. In forex trading, currencies are traded in pairs with a base currency and a quote currency. The USD/MXN pair refers to how many Mexican pesos – the quote currency – are needed to buy one US dollar – the base currency. The Barchart Technical Opinion widget shows you today’s overally Barchart Opinion with general information on how to interpret the short and longer term signals. Unique to, Opinions analyzes a stock or commodity using 13 popular analytics in short-, medium- and long-term periods.

usdmxn forecast

The FOMC projects inflation to fall to 2.8% in 2023 and 2.3% in 2024, declining from the 5.4% forecasted for 2022. Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund expects inflation to fall from 8.1% in 2022 to 3.5% and 2.2% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. The index, used to measure U.S. dollar strength or weakness compared to a basket of other mainstream currencies, reflects a 12.32% gain on the year to date.

Dollar To Peso Forecast 2023, 2024-2026

Different market sectors from Forex to Commodities and Cryptocurrencies to Stocks moved in different directions. For the best experience, please update to a modern browser. Live technical forecast of Stocks, ETFs, Indices, Forex, Commodities, Crypto and more. The monthly chart above shows the structure of Dollar Index and how we should be in wave IV now. The big question is when wave IV will end and when to rebuy the US Dollar. Tomorrow’s movement Prediction of US Dollar / Mexican Peso USDMXN is strongly bearish.

  • The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
  • As things stand right now, I am much more interested in fading signs of exhaustion after short-term rallies, and that will likely than not continue to be the best way to trade this market.
  • However, the U.S. dollar’s weakness against the Mexican peso reflects the peso’s relative strength compared to many U.S. dollar-based pairs.
  • However, there are certain time slots when forex trading is most busy.
  • To learn more about how this forecast is produced, please see our methodology page.

While most emerging markets currencies have seen the dollar soar to record highs, the peso is up by almost 5% against the USD since the start of the year as the Mexican economy has outperformed expectations. I don’t necessarily think that we have a major turnaround coming, but if we how to invest in buy & sell us stocks in the philippines do see some type of massive “risk off” type of situation from trading around the world, that will probably work against the peso. Regardless, we would need to take out at least the 50-Day EMA above to make the call to start getting long, which is all the way near the 18.70 level.

Stock price target for US Dollar / Mexican Peso USDMXN are 17.83 on downside and 18.05 on upside.

Reporting firms send Tuesday open interest data on Wednesday morning. The CFTC then corrects and verifies the data for release by Friday afternoon. The Barchart site’s data is then updated, after the official CFTC release. There is an interest rate differential between the 2 countries, and of course, Mexico has the edge. However, the reality is that safety will also be a major concern, and as a result, I think it’s likely that we will see the US dollar run towards, as we will have to prepare for a potential global slowdown.

How much is a dollar in Mexico 2023?

1 USD = 17.97935 MXN Mar 08, 2023 23:35 UTC.

The USD/MXN pair retreated again after Banixco raised its key inflation rate to 9.25%, falling below 20 to trade at 19.53 on 30 October, its lowest level since February 2020. Investors tend to use the dollar as a safe haven asset to protect wealth during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. That dynamic has driven the dollar to 20-year highs against a basket of currencies – as measured by the US Dollar Index – this year, and sent it to record highs against some emerging markets currencies. The MXN is now the third most-traded currency in the Americas behind the US and Canadian dollars . The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency and as such is influenced by the health of the global economy as well as the US economy’s performance.

Historical and forecast chart of the Dollar/Mexican Peso currency pair

This means that this pair is suited as a new addition to your portfolio as trading bullish markets is always a lot easier. The USDMXN spot exchange rate specifies how much one currency, the USD, is currently worth in terms of the other, the MXN. While the USDMXN spot exchange rate is quoted and exchanged in the same day, the USDMXN forward rate is quoted today but for delivery and payment on a specific future date.

You should carefully consider whether you understand how these instruments work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The content on the website is provided for search, educational, assisting traders to make independent investment decisions and doesn’t constitute investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this Website are provided as general market information and shouldn’t be read as any recommendation or advice.

This forecast is produced based on prior values of the USD/MXN along with other currency exchange rates. To learn more about how this forecast is produced, please see our methodology page. Information provided on Forbes Advisor is for educational purposes only. Your financial situation is unique and the products and services we review may not be right for your circumstances.

Even at that point, we would have to see what is going on around the world as far as the US dollar. This pair has recently seen a lot more US dollar weakness than anything else out there, so the Mexican peso has to be thought of as one of the big leaders around the world. We predict the dynamics of currency pairs using resonant artificial intelligence systems. Technical, fundamental analysis, news background, general geopolitical situation in the world and other factors are taken into account. USDMXN is a currency pair and the quotation of this currency pair USDMXN is the relative value of a unit of the first currency against the unit of another currency in the Currency trading market.

usdmxn forecast

Such a pronounced differential will make the Mexican peso relatively more attractive to investors and speculators selling USD/MXN as the peso regains its crown as Carry Trade King. If an inflationary environment persists in Mexico or falls at a slower rate than in the U.S., a more hawkish Banco de México can be expected. It is likely this could further strengthen the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar. It can be expected that future declines in the rate of inflation will correlate with U.S. dollar weakness as appetites for higher risk will prompt accelerated U.S. dollar outflows. A hawkish Federal Reserve was also a significant pull factor for investors seeking exposure to further rate hikes.

TEMPUS earned these distinctions above nearly 50 other distinguished global financial institutions, including some of the largest banks in the world. In particular for USD/MXN, Monex’ forecast was within 0.3% despite the pair moving more than 10% within the quarter. CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.


Results are interpreted as buy, sell or hold signals, each with numeric ratings and summarized with an overall percentage buy or sell rating. After each calculation the program assigns a Buy, Sell, or Hold value with the study, depending on where the price lies in reference to the common interpretation of the study. For example, a price above its moving average is generally considered an upward trend or a buy. Below is a forecast of Mexican Peso versus the U.S. dollar (USD/MXN) broken down by month.

While this is a bit of an interest rate play, the reality is that it’s a bit difficult to get overly excited about emerging market currencies now, despite the fact that there had been a big run-up in the value of the peso. Perhaps it’s time to start looking at the US dollar as a value investment here. Having strengthened by 6.74% on the year to date against the U.S. dollar, it’s unlikely 2022 will see further volatility created by central bank intervention. Both the BdeM and the Fed have increased interest rates seven times in 2022. Therefore, further Mexican peso strength or U.S. dollar weakness expedited by monetary policy this year is unlikely. Reports of higher-than-expected US inflation indicated that the Fed would remain on its aggressive tightening path.

Is the dollar strong in Mexico now?

US Dollar to Mexican Peso Exchange Rate is at a current level of 18.01, down from 18.11 the previous market day and down from 20.71 one year ago. This is a change of -0.55% from the previous market day and -13.04% from one year ago.

It has broken a strong support of 19 and is expected to move down further. Get started with Monex USA Online for near-instant access to global payment transactions in 130+ currencies. Asana stock exploded 24% late Wednesday after founder and CEO Dustin Moskovitz said he will purchase as much as 30 million shares of the embattled project management platform during the company’s fourth quarter earnings call.

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